This webinar investigates the topic of vulnerability models for the multi-hazard risk analysis of components and systems, as one of the outcomes of the Horizon Europe project MEDiate
Event Information
28 November 2024, 14:00 - 16:00 (UK time)
This event is free and open to all.
Where: online (register using the link below)
Zoom registration link
DescriptionThis webinar investigates the topic of vulnerability models for the multi-hazard risk analysis of components and systems, as one of the outcomes of the Horizon Europe project MEDiate. It starts with a state-of-art review of physical vulnerability and fragility models in the case of single hazards, before tackling the issue of multiple hazards that may occur to a given asset during the same event or throughout the lifetime of the exposed element. The consideration of such combinations of multiple hazard loadings raises numerous issues, such as the harmonisation of vulnerability functions in terms of damage states, the consideration of the order in which damaging events occur, the characterisation of the exposure with respect to hazard-specific features, etc. Some application examples are provided, such as the modelling of flood vulnerability, accounting for sequences of successive events, or even coupled with uncorrelated events such as earthquakes. The case of triggered damaging events is also investigated through the accumulation of damage for buildings exposed to an earthquake followed by a tsunami. Finally, the last part of the webinar is devoted to the evaluation of socio-economic vulnerability, by detailing the various dimensions of social vulnerability and by demonstrating how different financial situations and other burdens may affect social groups differently in case of a disaster. An example of regional social vulnerability analysis will be shown for the county of Essex (UK). Schedule1. Introduction to the modelling of multi-hazard vulnerability modelling: state-of-the-art and pending challenges [Pierre Gehl, BRGM] 2. Empirical flood vulnerability assessment of masonry buildings using remote data collection [Ahsana Parammal Vatteri, UCL] 3. Damage state-dependent fragility models for RC buildings exposed to flood and seismic hazards [Konstantinos Trevlopoulos, BRGM] 4. Adjustability of exposed elements by updating their capacity for resistance after a damaging event: application to an earthquake-tsunami cascade scenario [Caterina Negulescu, BRGM] 5. Socio-Economic vulnerability for disasters, with an application to Essex (UK) [Nadeeshani Wanigarathna, ARU] 6. Questions and open discussion [Everyone] |
Speakers
Dr. Pierre Gehl works as an earthquake engineering expert at BRGM (French Geological Survey), where he mostly develops research activities on seismic vulnerability and risk modelling, applied to critical infrastructure. A graduate of Ecole Centrale Paris (2005), Dr. Gehl has completed his PhD in Civil Engineering at University College London in 2016, on the multi-risk vulnerability assessment of road infrastructure, as part of the FP7 INFRARISK project (2013-2016). His current work at BRGM covers the development of innovative methods for systemic risk and resilience analyses, including the application of state-of-the-art probabilistic tools (e.g., Bayesian Networks). He was actively involved in Horizon 2020 project TURNkey (2019-2022 –
www.earthquake-turnkey.eu), which led to the application of Bayesian updating tools for the integration of field information into predictive models for the near-real time estimation of earthquake damage and losses. He is currently contributing to Horizon Europe projects MEDiate and GoBeyond, on the topics of multi-risk analyses and multi-hazard warning systems, respectively.
Dr. Ahsana Parammal Vatteri
UCL
Dr. Ahsana Parammal Vatteri works as a post-doctoral researcher within the UNESCO Chair, on probabilistic modelling of integrated school-road systems to improve the disaster resilience and reduce education disruption. She completed her PhD at UCL EPICentre, on multi-hazard vulnerability assessment of school systems using Bayesian networks. She was involved in modifying the World Bank’s GLOSI taxonomy for confined masonry typology. Previously, she worked on seismic safety assessment of schools as a research consultant. Ahsana completed her bachelor’s and master’s degrees from India, where she also worked as a civil engineer.Dr. Konstantinos Trevlopoulos
BRGM
Dr. Konstantinos Trevlopoulos is an earthquake and volcanic risk researcher at BRGM (the French Geological Survey) and his work focuses on seismic vulnerability and risk. He has a diploma in civil engineering from the Aristotle University of Thessaloniki (Greece), where he also received a postgraduate degree and a PhD in earthquake engineering. He worked as a postdoctoral researcher was at ISTerre (Université Grenoble Alpes), at a laboratory of the French National Center for Scientific Research in EDF Lab Paris-Saclay, at the French Alternative Energies and Atomic Energy Commission (CEA) in Saclay (France), and at the University of Naples Federico II (Italy). He has also worked as an engineer-researcher at CEA in Cadarache (France). In the context of the Horizon Europe project MEDiate, he has been developing models for the probability of damage to buildings due to compound multi-hazard events.
Dr. Caterina Negulescu
BRGM
Dr. Caterina Negulescu graduated Civil Engineering at Technical University of Civil Engineering in Bucarest. She completed in the same university her PhD on the seismic-risk vulnerability assessment of building constructed in Bucharest. C. Negulescu honed her skills through various experiences abroad, such as post-seismic missions or her one-year experience in Japan, at the Building Research Institute, before joining BRGM. She has worked on the modelling of RC & masonry buildings under different types of stress as well as on building instrumentation and research into damage estimation methods based on vibration observation. Over the last ten years, she has extended her skills by actively participating in the development of the VIGIRISKS platform and SEISAid rapid response notifications. She is currently contributing to Horizon Europe project MEDiate on the topics of multi-risk analyses.Dr. Nadeeshani Wanigarathna
ARU
Dr. Nadeeshani Wanigarathna is a construction economics academic with teaching, research, and industry experience over 15 years. Nadeeshani currently works at Anglia Ruskin University as a Senior Lecturer and serves as the Course Director for BSc Quantity Surveying. She engaged in multidisciplinary, national, and international research projects in the field of construction economics and natural hazard induced property loss assessment. Nadeeshani contributed to the Horizon Europe project MEDiate, by exploring how social dimensions of populations could be analysed to identify differential disaster burdens on localities and how those results could be considered in disaster risk management decision making.Links
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